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James S Saint wrote:Or you simply have a distorted view of reality and who a "real scientist" actually is concerning any issue.
Have you ever heard of the 30,000 Global Warming Petition? It has been repeatedly touted by climate science deniers as proof that the scientific community is divided on the evidence for AGW. Well, we now have even more solid ground from which to repute petition-waving deniers.
Kevin Grandia of DeSmogBlog points out that, of the 30,000 who have signed the petition, 39 are experts in climatology. That’s 0.1%. To be fair, he adds in those who claim to have a background in atmospheric science, concluding that 0.5% of the signers have experience in climate change science.
When I think I’m having chest pains I don’t go to Dermatologist, I go to a Cardiologist because it would be absurd to go to skin doctor for a heart problem. It would be equally absurd to look to a scientist with a background in Medicine (of which there are 3,046 on the petition) for an expert opinion on the science of climate change. With science broken down into very narrow specialties a scientific expert in one specialty does not make that person an automaticauthority in all things science.
The article goes on to explain the dubious beginnings of the petition, including the fact that few of the names can be verified.
When I first heard about the “30,000 scientists” who deny climate change, I have to admit that I was a bit shaken, though somewhat doubtful. Now, we see that, judging by this petition, the number is less than 200, and even that is largely unverifiable.
A number of critics of the petition questioned the scientific credentials and the authenticity of the names of the signatories.
In May 1998 the Seattle Times wrote:
“ Several environmental groups questioned some of the names in the petition. For instance: "Perry S. Mason", who was a legitimate scientist who shared the name of a TV character. Similarly, "Michael J. Fox", "Robert C. Byrd", and "John C. Grisham" were signatories with names shared with famous people. Geraldine Halliwell was added as: "Dr. Geri Halliwell" and "Dr. Halliwell." This name may have been contributed by a proxy trying to discredit the petition since Ms. Halliwell has never admitted to signing the petition.
Asked about the pop singer, Robinson said he was duped. The returned petition, one of thousands of mailings he sent out, identified her as having a degree in microbiology and living in Boston. "When we're getting thousands of signatures there's no way of filtering out a fake", he said.[21]
”
In 2001, Scientific American reported:
“ Scientific American took a random sample of 30 of the 1,400 signatories claiming to hold a Ph.D. in a climate-related science. Of the 26 we were able to identify in various databases, 11 said they still agreed with the petition —- one was an active climate researcher, two others had relevant expertise, and eight signed based on an informal evaluation. Six said they would not sign the petition today, three did not remember any such petition, one had died, and five did not answer repeated messages. Crudely extrapolating, the petition supporters include a core of about 200 climate researchers – a respectable number, though rather a small fraction of the climatological community.[22] ”
In a 2005 op-ed in the Hawaii Reporter, Todd Shelly wrote:
“ In less than 10 minutes of casual scanning, I found duplicate names (Did two Joe R. Eaglemans and two David Tompkins sign the petition, or were some individuals counted twice?), single names without even an initial (Biolchini), corporate names (Graybeal & Sayre, Inc. How does a business sign a petition?), and an apparently phony single name (Redwine, Ph.D.). These examples underscore a major weakness of the list: there is no way to check the authenticity of the names. Names are given, but no identifying information (e.g., institutional affiliation) is provided. Why the lack of transparency?[23] ”
A 1998 statement the Council of the National Academy of Sciences (NAS) reads:
“ The Council of the National Academy of Sciences (NAS) is concerned about the confusion caused by a petition being circulated via a letter from a former president of this Academy. This petition criticizes the science underlying the Kyoto treaty on carbon dioxide emissions (the Kyoto Protocol to the Framework Convention on Climate Change), and it asks scientists to recommend rejection of this treaty by the U.S. Senate. The petition was mailed with an op-ed article from The Wall Street Journal and a manuscript in a format that is nearly identical to that of scientific articles published in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. The NAS Council would like to make it clear that this petition has nothing to do with the National Academy of Sciences and that the manuscript was not published in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences or in any other peer-reviewed journal.
The petition does not reflect the conclusions of expert reports of the Academy.
In particular, the Committee on Science, Engineering, and Public Policy of the National Academy of Sciences, the National Academy of Engineering (NAE), and the Institute of Medicine (IOM) conducted a major consensus study on this issue, entitled Policy Implications of Greenhouse Warming (1991,1992). This analysis concluded that " ...even given the considerable uncertainties in our knowledge of the relevant phenomena, greenhouse warming poses a potential threat sufficient to merit prompt responses. ... Investment in mitigation measures acts as insurance protection against the great uncertainties and the possibility of dramatic surprises." In addition, the Committee on Global Change Research of the National Research Council, the operating arm of the NAS and the NAE, will issue a major report later this spring on the research issues that can help to reduce the scientific uncertainties associated with global change phenomena, including climate change. [24]
”
To the issue of duplicate names, the Global Warming Petition Project had responded:
“ Thousands of scientists have signed the petition more than once. These duplicates have been carefully removed from the petition list. The list contains many instances of scientists with closely similar and sometimes identical names, as is statistically expected in a list of this size, but these signers are different people, who live at different addresses, and usually have different fields of specialization. Primarily as a result of name and address variants, occasional duplicate names are found in the list. These are immediately removed.[25]
James S Saint wrote:There is a simple flaw in your retort (minimum)..
A scientist knows what "science" is and looks like, right?
The petition stated that global warming reports were not scientific.
They don't have to be climatologists to see whether a report is scientific.
Hell I can do that much.
Additionally, anyone can look into Quantum Mechanics, and if they know a little math, can tell that almost the entirety of QM is no more than speculation and literal superstition. Yet what YOU see as "what most scientists believe" would imply that QM is the best science we have. Yet it isn't actually science AT ALL.
In addition;
"I heard that most Mexicans believe in X. I met a few Mexicans and they believed in X.
Therefore, "most Mexicans believe in X".
How scientific is that assessment?
Yet that is your claim for veracity.
Additionally, anyone can look into Quantum Mechanics, and if they know a little math, can tell that almost the entirety of QM is no more than speculation and literal superstition. Yet what YOU see as "what most scientists believe" would imply that QM is the best science we have. Yet it isn't actually science AT ALL.
Helandhighwater wrote:If the petition was signed by 30,000 climatology experts on AGW someone would care.
James S Saint wrote:Helandhighwater wrote:If the petition was signed by 30,000 climatology experts on AGW someone would care.
Simple way to reveal a truth...
"Where are the 30,000 climatologists that signed the petition stating that global warming IS caused by industrial nations?"
Of course, you overlooked the point (no surprise).
A scientist knows what science looks like... no matter what field of science it is.
Helandhighwater wrote:James S Saint wrote:Helandhighwater wrote:If the petition was signed by 30,000 climatology experts on AGW someone would care.
Simple way to reveal a truth...
"Where are the 30,000 climatologists that signed the petition stating that global warming IS caused by industrial nations?"
Of course, you overlooked the point (no surprise).
A scientist knows what science looks like... no matter what field of science it is.
You never answered my questions. Why does anyone give credence to opinion.
Helandhighwater wrote:Publish refutations, learn the field, no one cares if some MD from hampton wick thinks it is false. No one cares if some MD from Hampton Wik thinks it is true either for that matter.
Helandhighwater wrote:Publish refutations, learn the field, no one cares if some MD from hampton wick thinks it is false. No one cares if some MD from Hampton Wik thinks it is true either for that matter.
Have you actually tried to "publish a scientific paper"?
In order to get it published, YOU have to be "one of them".
If you don't believe that, which you probably don't, just try it.
Until then, you have only opinion that what you are hearing has any credibility at all.
You have a religious Faith in "Science"... that isn't even Science.
Helandhighwater wrote:I don't have an opinion
James S Saint wrote:Helandhighwater wrote:I don't have an opinion
Then why argue that mine is wrong?
You have your reasons for believing what you have stated.
I stated my reasons for believe what I believe.
It isn't my fault that my way doesn't require as much "work" as yours.
aes dhammo sanantano Pali: 'this is the eternal law'
aes dhammo sanantano Pali: 'this is the eternal law'Magsj wrote:No-one has complained about either person, and I did say 'remain civil' didn't I?
aes dhammo sanantano Pali: 'this is the eternal law'Helandhighwater wrote:God I am bored of people who are so sure of themselves that they are prescient.
James S Saint wrote:Helandhighwater wrote:God I am bored of people who are so sure of themselves that they are prescient.
A mirror calling the reflection false.
James S Saint wrote:Kewl..
..the theory really works.
Helandhighwater wrote:James S Saint wrote:Kewl..
..the theory really works.
You are just not really on the same planet as me are you.
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