Will machines completely replace all human beings?

And when will the third phase end?

One could think: 2070. Right? – What I know for sure in this case is that the third phase will end with the end of the average high economic status.

If the average machine rate will remain high and the average fertility rate will remain low, but the average economic status will shrink, then it will become clear that machines are in the long run a bad thing.

Yes, but the shrunken average economic status will perhaps (thus: not certainly) cause a shrinking average machine rate. The answer to the question whether the average machine rate will shrink then or not will probably depend on the development status of the machines. If they will not sufficiently enough be developed then, then the average machine rate will certainly shrink. But the crux is that the humans will try to avoid a shrinking average economic status, although, if they will do, this will lead to an even higher average machine rate and at last to the extinction of all humans. Nevertheless, there are many reasons to believe that the average economic status will shrink and cause a shrinking average machine rate. Like I said: I know that the everage economic status will shrink, but I do not know whether this will really lead to a shrinking average machine rate or not, since the development status of the machines at that time in the future is currently quite unknown.

You’ve actually argued for the opposite.
The more people adapt to machines, the lower fertility rate gets.

No. I did not argue for the opposite.

The following links lead to all of my postings of this thread:

1] viewtopic.php?f=1&t=185562&start=2100#p2678757
2] viewtopic.php?f=1&t=185562&start=2100#p2680703
3] viewtopic.php?f=1&t=185562&start=2125#p2680839
4] viewtopic.php?f=1&t=185562&start=2125#p2681131
5] viewtopic.php?f=1&t=185562&start=2125#p2682958
6] viewtopic.php?f=1&t=185562&start=2125#p2683121
7] viewtopic.php?f=1&t=185562&start=2150#p2684062
8] viewtopic.php?f=1&t=185562&start=2150#p2684369
9] viewtopic.php?f=1&t=185562&start=2150#p2685393

That is a good article, Alf.

Thanks.

My pleasure. :slight_smile:

What I find very intersing is that the retail salespersons have a 90% chance of becoming automated.

The future of the hue-of-Man is the assembled humanoid.

Very likely.

A master plumber and a building architect can also be replaced already, at least theoretically. It is merely a question of time (a) when this replacement will be economicall efficient too and (b) when certain lobbyists will have to give up their lobby (first partly, then totally).

So in this case, the only question word is: When?

More to the point, YOU are easily replaced with something far more efficient and complaint to the New Social Order.

@ Arminius.

You did a good job on this topic, Arminius. Now that it’s been almost seven years since you opened this thread, and meanwhile we are in a corona hysteria since 2020, which also has to do with AI, it would be very good and important if you would write here again.

I would say that the probability that all humans will be replaced by machines has increased, just as you predicted here seven years ago.

Even this topic is starting to disturb me now. :confused:

By the time this event happens, humanity will be spread out among vastly more.star systems in the universe, since our solar system has billions of years to go…

It is an inescapable fact that in time, the escape velocity overcoming the speed of light will assure a state of medical technology where human intelligence can overcome it’s physiological bounderies of surviving quantum jumps.

I think that is silly blather. Humanity will never exceed the speed of light (except in their fantasies). It would be easier to believe that Global Communism is going to be a utopia for all humanity - so no need to travel the stars. But they are already replacing people with machines and doing everything to prevent human growth.

This thread is not so much about the question whether “humanity will be spread out among vastly more star systems in the universe” (Meno), but mainly about the question whether all (all!) humans will be replaced by machines and how this will happen. Keywords: machines in the conventional sense, machines in the sense of artificial intelligence (AI), cyborgs, androids.

It is more topical than ever, even more topical than in 2014 (April 3), when Arminius opened this thread.