Starting with one woman, who gives birth to twin daughters every year from the age of 25 to 50, and then dies, followed by exactly the same thing happening to all of her offspring, and all of their offspring, and so on, ad infinitum, how does one calculate the size of the female population in any given year (expressed, for simplicity, in years after the birth of the first woman)?
And in any given year, what proportion of the female population will be what age? I’m assuming that these proportions will remain constant, though I may be wrong.
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That’s right… the formula has to allow for all females, having 2 children per year, when the first set of twins hit 25… then the 2nd set the following year… the 3rd set the year after that… ad infinitum.
But I agree with urwrong, in that the resultant formula necessitating compensation… coz this necessitates, a whole lotta thinking. In having started on the formula, the maths gets interesting/needs accommodating the data, once the first set of twins hits 25.
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I’ve just pictured a [new] way to express it… because it’s the expression part of the solution of the mathematical inquiry, that is key to resolving this.
Would it be easier if we just said one daughter per year, that is, 25 daughters in 25 years? I suppose that would just be a case of changing one specific quantity in the formula, and wouldn’t make much difference to the mechanics of it.
There’s two daughters every year because they’re twins.
I would just chart the first 50 years or so and see the pattern that way. Each female has a linear growth of 50 progeny. But the amount of those progeny reaching age 25 is exponential, because massive amounts of women start becoming fertile over time. Then you have to subtract the mother after she dies, so minus one.
Year one = 1 woman
Year two = 1 woman
Year three = 1 woman
…
Year twenty-five = 3 women (1 mother + 2 daughters)
Year twenty-six = 5 women (1 mother + 2 + 2 daughters)
Year twenty-seven = 7 women (1 mother + 2 + 2 + 2 daughters)
…
Year fifty = 50 women (2 new mothers = +4 daughters)
Year fifty-one = 54 women (2 mothers + 4 daughters + 2 new mothers + 4 new daughters)
Year fifty-two = 62 women (4 mothers + 8 daughters + 2 new mothers + 4 new daughters)
Year fifty-three = 78 women (6 mothers + 12 daughters + 2 new mothers + 4 new daughters)
So it increases x^2 every year, and every birth is from an individual that is <1yr of age, or whole population (however whole is expressed in proportion/ratio/percentage)… 2x, 1:1, 1::1? I dunno.
isn’t it, like, weird how you have to cube it (3) to get to 4 cuz they start from zero? 4D, I mean. how weird is it that you can start from zero and get somewhere?
It’s not x^2 because there’s a delay between when the daughters become mothers. They have to wait 25 years, by that time, there are other generations producing which complicates the exponential growth.
Furthermore, each woman gives birth to 50 daughters after 25 years (twins each year). So that is also not to the second power.