How Likely Is The Sun To Rise?

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:shushing_face:

Tee hee hee :face_with_hand_over_mouth:

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…you ain’t worth the effort.

Empty claims.

According to Laplace (French mathematician, aka The French Newton) if n observations were made and something (X) happened m number of times, the probability that X will happen again = (m+1)/(n+1). We’ve been observing the sun for at least 5000 years (astronomy is that old) and every day of those years it has risen. So the probability that it’ll rise tomorrow = [(5000 * 365) + 1]/[(5000 * 365) + 1] = 100%

Probabilities aren’t 100% guarantees. If a coin has a 100% chance of flipping either heads or tails, that doesn’t mean it’s ever gonna flip in the first place.

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According to Hume and other non-philosophical frauds, we cannot know the sun will rise tomorrow because there is no causal reason why it should. We are merely observing CoInCiDdenCeSSs and cannot actually understand why the sun might really rise.

Consider the death of philosophy, before you consider such absurd non-questions as this topic poses.