Give your prediction for how you think your home state might vote.
Any opinions on who will win the Popular vote nationwide? How about the Electoral College? Are recent polls depicting a locked race mistaken? Will those voters who are newly registered make a demonstrable difference?
Finally, will the results be as contentious as Bush/Gore 2000? Will the country be as divided once again after this election as it was in 2000?
As for myself, my state is 2/3 for Bush (at least). I suspect that Kerry will win the popular vote but that Bush will once again be elected via the electoral college. I believe a majority of newly registered voters registered to inact a change, but that this will not be enough, in and of itself, to engender such change. Afterwards, the country will once again divide itself along the political spectrum. Both parties will co opt corresponding smaller, more extreme movements on both sides, moving both major parties even further from the middle.
About the same in my neck of the woods. Heavily Republican, but I’m guessing that the Bush margin of victory will be a lot less than 2000. Once in a while, we have an ‘independent’ streak of meaness seep through.
The overall is too close. Neither candidate will have a mandate. The country isn’t done with extremism. The divisions will continue to grow. The dangerous trend is that there is less middle classs to pull things back to center. It seems that the pendalum swing’s wider every decade. It doesn’t make stability in the future look too promising.
Pagans. No, seriously and sincerely, do you think that the Rural Ohio vote is enough to offset the urban vote in Cincinatti(sp?), Cleveland and Toledo?
and dayton and columbus and the republicans have been doing their own get out the vote… it isn’t as close as the media tells you… by 12 am tonight e.s.t. we’ll know for sure…
frankly, I wouldn’t mind The Republicans if it weren’t for the fucking evangelical protestants that control half the damn party. I am totally sincere when I say that those people wouldn’t mind if we became something like Spain under Franco, except that, of course, the Southern Baptists run things and not the Pope.
Otherwise, this country’s turn to the right is what one should expect from an ageing population. Except that the baby boomers are so fucking narcissistic that they think that their own personal and individual turns towards conservatism in their old age is indicative of some universal enlightenment.
“If you’re not a liberal at 25, you’ve got no heart. If you’re not a conservative at 50, you’ve got no brain.” Churchhill (i think)
i would vote for bush as a canadian. but if i was american i’d vote for kerry, but still rather have a beer with bush. its your country he’s ----, not mine, i hope he continues to spend your money on his crusade through the middle east.
“This was not the breakout year for young voters that some had anticipated. Fewer than one in 10 voters Tuesday were 18 to 24, about the same proportion of the electorate as in 2000, exit polls indicated. Still, with voter turnout expected to be higher overall, more young people appeared to have come out.”
There is still a big increase in youth turnout. The reason why it is the same PERCENTAGE is that there is an increased voter turnout across the board.
Yes, I was surprised to see Bush hold even that large of an advantage in the popular vote (so far). The left coast has yet to be fully tabulated, however.
I read Imp’s post first before doing some checking and I am sorry, Imp, but no major news website I can find has given Bush 270 or over E C votes. Not even the always fair and Balanced Fox News has given him 270 or over yet. That isn’t to say he won’t win, clearly I think that he will, but it isn’t official yet. Of course all that might have changed in the time I spent typing this also.
Unfortunately I think Kerry has lost Ohio by a VERY wide margin, he is down by 130,000+ votes. There’s no way provisional votes could make such a large difference up.
Face it were in for four more years of Bush.
I think the outcome was rigged. With Gay marriage initiatives on the ballot in several key states including Ohio it increased Republican turnout. Had these measures been introduced at another time, I think Kerry could’ve had a better chance.
as for Ohio being this elections florida? wishful thinking on the part of democrats. They should honestly concede defeat. The gap in Florida in 2000 was only 500 votes. The gap in Ohio is 260 times that size. There’s no way the provisional votes will make up that gap, Kerry would have to get over 90% of the votes.
