Rouzbeh,
in effect this has happened in the US already at least once before. The Irish were considered Other and didn’t really become white folk until Kennedy got elected president.
What’s happening in America is that there was a huge immigration of Mexicans, mainly, following NAFTA in 1994. That treaty changed the rules of the game for Mexican farmers, who basically couldn’t compete against subsidized US corn. They all moved to Urban areas - either inside Mexico or north to the US. However, from what I’ve read, we’ve seen the end of that wave of migration as the average birth per Mexican Woman has dropped from something like 6 kids a mom in 1965 to 2 kids a mom in 2000. Basically NAFTA and the Mexican Baby Boom coming-of-age coincided and pushed a shit load of people north. (Which is something that has always been the case. That border has ALWAYS been permeable.)
Anyway, most of the guestimates are that those Mexican families will have something like 3 kids a mom. White people have something like 1.5-2 kids a mom. (Pardon this is all off the top of my head. I can find the stats and source em if need be.) Black people babyize about the same as whites. After two generations, all the little babies will be mexi-babies
in my opinion, most of this is stupid as Mexicans, in America, turn into white people by the third generation. Just look at Tony Romo of the Dallas Cowboys. At base, what is profoundly threatened in my opinion is the dominance of White Protestants. Obama’s election did in fact end White Hegemony. Now, some people out in ILP land will object and say Obama is half white, therefore I am talking out of my ass and am a racist for not including his white half. Unfortunately, we live in a one-drop culture. You might be lily-white or pass for white, but in this country, if you have one drop of black blood, you’re black. That’s how it always had been. Now, I believe it to be changing. (In fact, Obama being mixed actually makes his election even more incredible. His very existence is predicated on an act that wasn’t even declared unconstitutional until 1967!) Anyway, back to the issue.
I do believe that White Protestant America is profoundly fucked. However, as a Catholic, I could care less. In fact, I think it’s about damn time. Serves 'em right for every smug Evangelical sonuvbitch that ever asked me “Yeah, but are you Christian?”
PS. there is the assumption here that most Mexicans are Catholic. Obviously, I view this issue not so much in terms of race, but in terms of religion. Try looking at it from a religious perspective. Strange things make more sense sometimes from the God-angle. The US is about to become a WHOLE lot more catholic