A case for regionalization

With the costs of moving people and materials constantly rising, a rational plan to ameliorate living conditions as much as possible needs to be addressed. It is my opinion that regionalization is the best organizational structure to be had for at least the next decade. The days of national and global dependency are coming to a close. While it is obvious that standards of living will, and must continue to shrink, there is no reason why this process must be chaotic. With detailed planning, the “let down” can be managed.

So what is a region? I suppose we could re-invent the wheel, but we already have “regions” that over time, have served the needs of people - if not evenly, at least in ways that covered most of the bases. This is true no matter where you live on the planet… Government has mirrored social needs for the most part. So if we simply follow the break-out of governmental structure, we have semi-reasonable regions already in place. Here in the U.S., we have federal, state, county, city, and neighborhood regions. The names are different in every country, but follow a similar pattern. While regional boundaries (those artificially set) would need to be flexible given conditions on the ground, we can assume that existing regional definitions would suffice for planning purposes.

What would be the likely goal of any region? Self-sufficiency. From smaller to larger, each region would attempt to depend less and less on the next larger region. To the extent that a region must import basic needs, self sufficiency is vulnerable. Luxury goods and services will always move globally, but basic goods and services can’t be “luxury” items.

So just what are the basic good and services that we need to consider? We all will have slightly different lists, but I’ll start with the basic basics…

Food: To whatever extent possible, food and food preservation needs to be localized. Each area or region needs to inventory what fruits and vegetables can be grown, what food animals can be supported (they have to eat too) and then matched to the existing population. Food storage has to be a consideration as well. Freezer storage is fine as long as electrical supplies are available at affordable rates, but going back to canning, brining, and drying of foods probably should be looked at. A region that can provide, process, and store basic grains, fruits and vegetables for its inhabitants is going to be far more stable than one that has to import from another region.

Clothing: Sad, but we’ve almost completely shut down fiber and cloth production in this country. It is likely that we will have to import fabrics for daily living from other countries. Unless a region is capable of supporting a garment industry, people might have to learn how to sew again… The same goes for shoe production. Nike may not want to build a shoe factory in a dozen different small regions. Like flip flops?

Shelter - There is probably adequate shelter for most inhabitants. There may be “dividing” up some larger homes as generations of a family find that it is easier to live under one roof than independently. New construction will change radically to minimize materials that have to be imported from another region.

OK. That is a beginning. It barely scratches the surface, but it’s a beginning.

You’re invited to comment, add to the list of necessities, begin suggesting strategies, etc.

It seems like regionalization could potentially increase conflict, think of the territorial issues we already have now in the US. You don’t think this would magnify problems like border control, “us” vs. “them” mentality, etc?

Anita,

Yes. The us vs them is a strong potential and would always be there in some degree. The idea is to to begin planning on how to hold hands and help each other instead of strategizing how to hold a gun to everyone’s head.

What I opened with is obviously not even close to the issues that would need to be looked at. Transportation, employment, education, medical services, … anything that we need to manintain quality of life.

It may be that the most important thing is to attempt to create a benevolent positive perspective among the majority of the folks and let the immense complexity of the details evolve. The content will be forced upon us. It may be how we think about the content that is truly important.

I’m sure there’s enough clothes in the collective american closet to last another thousand years or so.

:laughing: :laughing: I’m going to show this to the wife - and blame it all on you! :laughing: :laughing:

:laughing: Good one !

JT - What about stuff like water and power…? Are those still ‘country-wide’…?

And what about border control - what you are in effect creating are new smaller ‘countries’ some more desirable than others, some perhaps drastically less so in the near future as an effect of climate change - which will mean a degree of immigration/emigration.

How about a population cap on each region…?

Hi Tab,

The power issue is going to rely on two things: Conservation in the short run, and technology spurred by high energy costs. I’ve mentioned this in another forum, but I’m betting that high efficiency solar cells and new battery developments will be the solution. The technologies are pretty much there, but only proven in the lab. High oil prices are now making it possible to generate the investment capital to get it into the commercial field. One of the more interesting aspects of this is the greed that has driven oil prices so high, is going to kill the goose. Within ten years, we will be able to purchase systems that take us off the grid. Consider: gasoline, electricity, and heating fuels have created dependency whether the prices were low or high. You have always been able to own the “tank”, but you depended on someone else to fill it - over and over. Once the new technologies have matured, you will own the tank and the means to fill it. No more bills from the electric company, No more stopping at quickiemart to gas the car, No more buying heating fuel, we will become our own producer/consumer. Instead of selling us over and over, the energy people will sell us once or maybe twice in our lifespan. Each house and every vehicle will become independant producers and consumers. This is a giant failure of capitalism. Their greed has forced us to become independant. It’s a dumb mistake on their part.

Water is a more complex issue, unless you are at the leading edge of a watershed. There will have to be some heavy-duty compromises about who gets what, how much, and in what condition. There will be lots of wrangling between agricultural needs and domestic users. If your water supply has already been “used” three or four times, a big concern is how clean does that water have to be? If you’re pissing in my pond, we might have issues. :laughing: I suspect that it will be a two pronged issue. Much more conservation and better water clean-up at every level. Water is going to be one of the harder issues to sort out.

Immigration caps: I think that human movement will be curtailed greatly. Unfortunately, I doubt that there will ever be fair and equitable treatment of imigres. Probably the easy solutions will be some sort of moratorium applied periodically on essential services and perhaps employment caps or quotas. People will always attempt to locate where there are greater opportunities, so I doubt that the problems will ever go away, but with planning, migration could be kept to a useful minimum. But I do see a situation where establishing residency could have a lot more requirements than just saying, “I’m here.” Most countries have specific requirements in place for people wanting to establish residency, such as gainful employment, education, cash, etc. It wouldn’t be too difficult to create a coherent set of residency requirements for people who want to move around.

You’d hope, but any company that did that would put itself out of business no…?

Intricate parts and designed obscelesence… Our energy may no longer hurt the enviroment, but it will always hurt our pocket.

You’ve read ‘Dune’ probably - how long till the catwalk models are wearing still-suits I wonder…? :astonished:

Tab,

I’m sure that there will always be routine maintenance, but it will always be less than what we are paying now. The energy people are slowly moving from suppliers of “smoke” to manufacturers. This introduces a whole slew of new players and competition will slowly weed out the sub-par players. Think about the computer industry. At one time, IBM and Cray owned the world. The paradigm changed from mainframe to PC. IBM is still a player, but a marginal one at best. There have been many successes and even more failures, but today a computer is less expensive than the kitchen stove. The energy people pried the lid off the can of worms with their greed, and now it is too late…

Hmmmm, do you think they will make still suits in extra large? :laughing:

On another hopefull note - some companies are clumping their production sites together, and using each other’s waste chemicals and heat to make chains of mutually supportive production. Which is nice.

Perhaps we’ll still have some element of capitalist specialization - eco-sectors clustered around a central industry cluster perhaps…?

Tab,

I think that after all the ups and downs, this one is the big one. Stars and Mars has line up and I feel a big shift in sentiment and confidence. Government has failed us, the big corporations have failed us, and we have failed ourselves. Time for the WAKE UP call. We’ve let them screw us, but this is rape, and I think we’re not going to be as trustful this time around…

they have screwed us… they have screwed us…

psst…

we ARE them

gird your loins

-Imp