Why Before the first A, and not just “whenever the X occurs”? Just curious. It’s easier for me to check for that when the X occurs, but if I have to, I can do it “before the A”. Whatever you want.
I think he’s using B to mean tails. A means heads. X means
Because the three a’s within the aaax combination will also offset the result.
but it ALWAYS could be EITHER
Hence DNA is a program & there is a programmer.
Sure, I will make sure that, before the AAA, it’s within 49.9 and 50.1 before recording the X as a heads or a tails.
If I do this, and the results come out 50/50, is there any chance in hell you’ll change your mind?
I guess not enough to matter after a million repetitions, but better to be safe and do the math straight.
It will shake my current understanding, but it will not in one go overrule all statistical theory.
Again.
You’re all missing the point of randomness.
The average is 50%.
That doesn’t mean that two different people forever doesn’t get all heads or tails forever.
That’s how you know gambling is rigged.
It should be possible to win infinite dollars off a single dollar.
So randomly flip for 50,000 times then wait for three A’s - save the next flip.
Repeat for 1000 times.
Count the A’s to B’s.
I’m almost certain you’ve drastically misunderstood whatever you’ve read on statistics origami. Are you sure you didn’t accidentally pick up your statistics book from the Astrology section or something?
But only when all previous flips give about a 50 50 distribution.
Can we fucking do the experiment already?
You’re slippin!
WAIT
Oh shit you’re not gonna like this.
Ok, the margin of error has to get smaller the larger the amount of repetitions gets.
Origami, here it is
That is what the 50,000 is for. After 50,000 - you will have close to 50/50 (make it 500,000 if you like to wait).
Then watch for the AAAX - save the X - count the X’s for 1000 times or more.
Fine.
Ignore me. Whatever.
If you always call heads. You actually have a chance of always getting heads forever.
If you always call tails. You actually always have a chance of getting tails forever.
If you randomly call heads or tails each time, there is an infinite chance that an infinite number of someone’s will be correct, forever.
So. I ask you this. Are the odds greater or lesser that you’ll be or not be one of these people?
js