The Next Four Years

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But consider that cybertechnique feared ttoward a bad thing, if the probabilities are flipped toward the good thing, he will change that propositional level of comprehension that will tend to revise the whole uncertainty in a bell-jar manner of positive representation , overall.?

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My, that’s some post you wrote there…

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Ahhhh visions, I know them well… not had any in a while.

A pertinent time, to have your’s… a Trump win. :grin:

…a wish-list… for you, obviously.

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I added to the conversation.

What would Kamala Harris have achieved on her first day in the Whitehouse… trans surgery, for All?

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What Donald Trump made happen… he doesn’t even have to try hard, either.

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I tried to distance myself from the comic effects that Kimmell’s bittersweet position required him to keep an upper :lips: within the mindset of comic relief, but somehow how can such affect those who have actually feel threatened by such vagary?

We should find out after the turn of the year, I should say…

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Considering the last four years have been terrible for America, shouldn’t America/ns be thinking positively at the next for years ahead?

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Why, what’s happening at the turn of the year?

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After the turn of the year, actual powers of executive forces will be transferred, the inauguration sealing, signing and delivering those, as really using the will of the people to accede to that ascension.

Plus people will fell more confident in cybersecurity, and the uncertainty of of the political situation will follow as the dust settles.

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Interest rates aren’t actually down across the board. When the Fed lowered the interest rate on the federal funds rate this didn’t cause all other rates to fall as it had expected. In fact long term bond yields went up, and mortgage rates went up. Some credit card rates also went up. This sort of confused some of the normie financial analysts, because they don’t understand that in an environment where more and more of the world distrusts America and sees America as on the verge of default and a dollar collapse, when half of the world wants to sign up for BRICS and participate in global dedollarization, and in a world when America under the demoncraps already weaponized the US dollar for political reasons such as to deplatform Russia from Swift and stole $300 billion dollars from Russia – and in a world where American debt and deficits are out of control – the Fed doesn’t have the power it once did.

And this will increasingly be the case. The Fed will keep doing its same one-pony trick of adjusting interest rates, which will not bring down actual rates in the real economy. Seriously, who out there wants to buy a 10-year US treasury bond at 4.75% ROI ten years from now when annual interest (calculated more accurately than the manipulated CPI) is more like 5-7%? And what bank is going to offer a mortgage at 4.75% in such an environment?

So when the Fed goes back to its other trick (money machine go burrrrr) and pumps more inflation into the economy to increase liquidity and hopefully induce more credit lending and lower rates, all this does it further prove the financial irresponsiblity and ultimate insolvency of America. $35 trillon in federal debt alone and counting, a trillion dollar deficit now (in a good year) and we want to turn on the money machine again like its another covid party free helicopter money from the sky PPP all over again? Yikes.

At some point investors will wake up and realize the emperor has no clothes.

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Ah, you think that I’m wishing for an end to aid to Ukraine, Democratic politicians to be prosecuted, politically-motivated impeachments, and 5% inflation. Obviously.

Make a single prediction about anything Mags.

Lots of confident words, no concrete, testable predictions.

Words, yes.

But actions?

Aplenty. How will the neutrality wished for globally paint not so a pretty picture of what?

A global widening of tension, or a whisked for narrowing of a saturated powder keg.?.

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It is difficult to wish for or hope for a peace to fill the chasm that would differentiate between the quasi wilsonian neutrality that could fill a substantial price Russia demands for cessation of hostilities, with the dissemination and proliferation of many global conflicts sprouting up to fill a widening space that has been left empty of the process to achieve it(a piece of such peace)

The connective signs are below general apprehension, and as such are viewed suspiciously as deceptively too simple, but a resurgence of conspiracy is like a snake swallowing it’s own tail (tale)

The procedure , the proposals are hidden by the promotions that feed such enigmatic internal dialogues, proformally, apparently scared of it’s own shadow, barring a preformed performance to smoothly function accordingly.

What goes on here? All are conflated , but the snake does deceive, and those who mistakenly overreacted way back , having lost the kernel of that apple, that mankind swallowed, has given us another chance to repair that damage. The axiomatically natural response has already bypassed natural sentiment understanding, now, it’s time to catch up and see that the sheeple can hardly keep up or go ahead.

That is why the most powerful man in the White House, is and must be a psychopathic criminal himself, vis. only evil can match the fight another, more terrible evil can pro pose.

Ps. Pope Francis himself struggling with Gnosis heresy, said of the US election as advice to the voting public: ‘Choose between the lesser of two evils’

What he could not mention about the in- gestation between which one is really preferably a necessary choice, and that bell jar indicates the exact opposite of what is meant here in this context.

And yes, it is to save space, for spatial temporal forces forced the reversal of the shrinking diaspora, of having those unfortunate people obliged to be chosen , to save man’s overall identifiable traits as those which are constituted to be apart and a part from that which are less then human

That is why, the superior supernatural signs need to be heeded to.

God, were floored, we are, but with and in unity is unfathomable strength.

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Testable predictions aren’t easy because the timeline of events is always uncertain. I can predict the US will go back to QE and be up to 50 trillion dollars in debt, roughly 200% of GDP, because I am certain that will happen, but when? I have no idea if that will occur in 1 year or 2 years or 10 years. I can predict the dollar will lose world reserve status and be replaced with something else, but I don’t know when that will happen. This is sort of like the housing crisis from 2007-08, a small number of people were predicting the economic crisis but they didn’t know exactly when it would occur, just that the hard facts indicated it was going to happen at some point.

Stonks have been inflated artificially with monopoly fed money for over a decade now, almost two decades. Much of the rise in stonks is simply inflationary, as inflation is good for the rich who own assets and bad for everyone else who doesn’t. This is also why politicians prefer inflation over taxation, because at least with inflation prices rise and they get to fool the populace that their assets like houses and stonks are going up. Average 401k person looks at his retirement portfolio and thinks “wow im up 20% this year so far!” thinking he is richer. When in reality almost all of that is inflation, false valuation, not real growth. But even with that being said, most of the stonks aren’t going up, they are flat to negative while major indexes continue to rise based on a small number of very large tech firms continuing to get bid up higher and higher. S&P 500 for example, only a fraction of the stonks there are really going “up” (inflationary) but it drags the entire index up. Other smarter analysts have also pointed out that bunded index investing like that is futther skewing true market valuation of the underlying individual stonks and companies, because like I said they seem to be getting better over time as the index in total rises, meanwhile people who buy the S&P 500 or the Nasdaq or whatever index of bunded different stonks/companies are not really paying attention or trying to properly ascertain the value of the underlying individual components of the index. This leads to a further skewing and false market valuation (inaccurate pricing) as risks of individual companies are not being taken into consideration relative to their stonk’s value.

Anyway, anyone who thinks it’s feasible is simply not paying attention and living in la la land of delusional magic monetary theory monopoly helicopter money from the skies fantasy where somehow debts and deficits and politicizing your own currency somehow doesn’t matter.

Oh, as for a tangible prediction, US bond yields finally un-inverted about a month ago. That means historically-speaking we have between 6 and 18 months until a hard recession hits. And based on the length of time bond yields were inverted, again this is using history as an example every time this has happened before, the recession is going to be a very bad one. Then think of all the derivates debt in the system and how easily it would be to tip this over the breaking point, like what happened with the mortgage backed derivatives in 07-08. People betting on that stuff 10 or 100 times or more and using leverage to do that… yikes.

Pick one:

  1. It will all go up in flames.
  2. Heat death.
  3. The whole thing just ends.
  4. New heaven, new earth, regardless.
  5. 4, plus just do self=other regardless, because that’s also 4.

I’ll pick ‘Other-others’

No self without other. & vv

No difference without similarity. & vv

No iteration without original. & vv

Sure, but is is the Original Other,1 that is accessible only to extended Other 2 , and that communication has always true through mystical communication.

It’s a glean in a micro span of a time space,that convolvoluted rotation can only torque , without it’s shape not be forever lost, and you’re right: and I quote you:

1 but here we are-and eternally will. Be/ per Ec
2 it happens unnoticed within at least 3 parallel
worlds maybe more maybe much morr
3 in this world possibly anything is possible, —
Including immediate acces, in synch access
almost simultaneous reception,
4 what one talks about, what can an other ——
mean, or is it crazy to mean anything, or —-

5 in such environment , invisible or visible to
some, isn’t that could been or have been
miracles where the difference between night
and day could be rendered inconsequential
even if it could become such?

6 there is more of it but I can think (of) like
What is consciousness though (of) and
how does that matter and for whom lest
forgotten, to generate the renewal of the
Power of force (fed if not willing) so that
Others may live.

In this instance I’d rather not, but only project positive thoughts about the new tenureship.
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I’ll leave the predictions to those that wish to do so… ; )

…what about postdictions?

Isn’t it funny how it’s not about probability then?

It really isn’t about probability either way.

Because all roads lead to/away from the Way.

AnyWho.

It’s probably any how no matter, for some ways less traveled goes toward the Way,

Either way probable that a certain ways can run parallel to other ways that have to go back to the point of no return, or at least it seems like it should.

That’s why giving confidence level helps. I’m pretty confident debt won’t top 50 trillion by the end of 2026 (90%), and I don’t think it will top 50 trillion in 10 years (65%). If it does, I think it will mostly be due to inflation rather than an increase in real spending.

I don’t think this is right, though. People thought the same thing about the Dot Com boom, but the tech companies that were so obviously overvalued then are worth 100x what they were then. And while you can argue they’re overvalued now too, it’s hard to argue that they aren’t worth more than they were at the peak of the dot com boom – their tangible assets alone (land, buildings, etc.) are worth multiples of their early 2000s peak.

Or the market is becoming more and more concentrated and the large firms are actually worth more as a result. In that case it’s real value, even if the majority of stocks are falling.

Interesting. I’ll have to look into this, not sure what percent I’d give that. It also occurs to me that my intuition on this question is out of line with my intuition on the odds of debt topping 50 trillion by then.

You can make positive predictions too.

And really, you’re implicitly making a prediction when you vote or support a candidate or policy. Turning those implicit predictions into concrete, testable predictions that you share publicly helps to hold yourself accountable to your own beliefs.

We are all very good at deceiving ourselves, we should take steps to guard against it.

I’m revising my estimate here. I think deportations will go up, but not on the scale they are saying. I’m going to use the Obama years as a baseline because during much of Biden’s presidency there was a state of emergency that makes the data hard to compare.

  1. The total removals during the next four years will not be more than 20% higher than the total removals during Obama’s second term. (70%)
  2. The total number of immigrants living in the US will increase. (80%)

I still think Trump’s deportation policy will look like business as usual, and I say this even knowing that Stephen Miller will be Deputy Chief of Staff. About which:

  1. No general denaturalization policy will be implemented. (90%)

As currently worded, I would arguably have to score the second as failed if Trump follows through on his plan to appoint Musk to co-lead a task force/advisory commission. When I made that prediction, I intended a formal position, e.g. some role acknowledged by the constitution or the legislature, with actual decision-making power (e.g. for RFK I had in mind specifically director of the NIH, which Trump had said he’d do during his campaign).

But that’s not what I said, and an appointment to a made up thing that does nothing is arguably an “appointment in come capacity” – though the counter is that “capacity” excludes complete impotence.

While subsequent events make me more confident of my originally intended predictions, I’m going to leave the confidence as originally written and clarify the ‘capacities’ to which I was referring:

  1. RFK will be appointed to a role in government created by Congress or requiring Senate approval. (80%)
  2. Musk will not be appointed to a role in government created by Congress or requiring Senate approval. (70%)

That’s not a perfect translation, but it gets the job done in an objective way. And if Congress turns the Musk Commission into an actual department with Musk as head, that would count as a failed prediction.

https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/politics/trump-taps-elon-musk-and-vivek-ramaswamy-to-lead-department-of-government-efficiency/ar-AA1tYH58

I say we start by cutting out all funding to the abortion industry, and those who traffic with them for research purposes. Then put very stiff tariffs on imports of pussy hats.

Whilst blowing the U.S.-China-global public “health” conspiracy wide open.