Before 1901 the metaphysics of science was simple (and simplistically wrong). Scientists were naive materialists. It helps to think in Kantian terms – materialistic science never accepted Kant’s claim that noumena is unknowable and continued to assume that mind-external reality was a 3-D clockwork universe. Science never accepted a philosophical refutation of this, but physicists could not simply ignore Einstein.
In 1915, therefore, the idea of a Newtonian noumenon was replaced by spacetime. This wasn’t just a scientific claim – it is fundamentally metaphysical. It claims the past and future are ontologically real, and that mind-external reality is a 4-dimensional block. These two metaphysical accounts of reality are fundamentally incompatible – they cannot both be true.
BUT…before physics had a chance to digest this, in 1926 along came quantum mechanics and made yet another completely incompatible claim. Strictly speaking it took until Bell’s theorem in 1966 for it to be accepted as proved, but the new claim is that mind-external reality isn’t 4-D spacetime but something much closer to a platonic/pythagorean realm of pure information. Science calls this “Hilbert Space” – the uncollapsed, unobserved wavefunction.
So we now have *three* different science-based claims about the nature of noumenal reality. And while naive materialism can easily be rejected once the problem is understood, the clash between General Relativity and QM remains unsolved after 100 years. Physicists have spent a century trying to force QM and GR into a single mathematical structure, precisely because they know they cannot have two clashing claims about what mind-external reality is made of. But they cannot make this work, because the mathematics is impossible – if you try to merge the mathematics you end up with unresolvable infinities.
My point is this: this problem isn’t empirical. Scientists have no right to continue claiming this problem is scientific at all, because their century-long failure is conceptual, not empirical. What is required from science is an admission that the problem has been physicalism all along – and not just that physicalism leads to unresolvable philosophical problems (such as the hard problem of consciousness) but that it is now hamstringing physics itself.
In response to this they will wail and scream, claiming that if we admit physicalism is broken, science will end and the sky will fall in. This is not the case, but we need to be careful. Many metaphysical claims do indeed break science, including every position which denies that brains are necessary for consciousness. But there is a family of metaphysical theories which reject both physicalism and disembodied minds. This family includes neutral monism, dual aspect monism and some process metaphysics. But, of course, the debate is rarely that nuanced. In reality it usually devolves into a punch-and-judy match between physicalism and idealism/dualism/panpsychism, where neither side can win, but neither will settle for anything less than total victory.